Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221295           6          40          44          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000802188          13          45          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.17880e-07           8          57          33           2           0        B6.1
est. ISN   =       15.0000          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            11.50       51.00       32.75        4.75        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.0