Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222046           6          47          40           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791108          14          49          32           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.43574e-07          10          63          26           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.00       54.25       29.00        3.75        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                      B8.6