Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230051           1          21          58          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883101           1          35          53          11           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   3.17337e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             2.75       28.25       56.50       11.50        1.00     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.1