Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229962           1          21          59          17           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000886735           1          35          53          11           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.87257e-07           2          23          68           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             2.25       31.50       55.25       10.25        0.75     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9