Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227708           3          35          53           9           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878377           2          39          48          11           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.95043e-07           5          45          44           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             3.75       41.50       46.25        8.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7