Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225050           6          44          45           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850617           6          51          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   1.57501e-07          11          58          26           5           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       33.0000           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             7.50       50.25       35.00        7.25        0.00     B7.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8