Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226069           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861090           7          45          38          10           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.54519e-07          10          62          24           4           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             6.75       48.25       36.50        8.50        0.00     B9.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7