Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225876           5          37          47          11           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000887391           2          35          50          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.62658e-07          12          58          25           5           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.75       41.25       44.00        8.25        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4