Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226717           2          36          47          15           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894731           3          34          48          13           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   1.58804e-07          11          59          25           5           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                             8.50       47.00       35.00        9.00        0.50     B8.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6