Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224717           5          49          43           3           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861401           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
GOES Xray  =   1.34523e-07           7          62          30           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.50       52.50       36.25        4.75        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      B9.6