Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220520           8          43          39          10           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792158          14          46          35           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.13813e-07           7          57          34           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             8.25       48.00       36.50        7.25        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5