Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217589          25          57          17           1           0        B3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000746387          20          41          30           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   9.21020e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B5.0
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                            14.00       52.50       28.25        5.25        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B5.3