Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217097          27          55          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000746650          20          42          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   8.62281e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                            14.50       51.50       28.75        5.25        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7