Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217932          22          54          23           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000745098          19          42          30           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.02580e-07           6          59          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                            13.00       50.50       31.00        5.50        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7