Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217397          26          55          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000744808          19          42          30           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.07914e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            15.00       52.25       28.50        4.25        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9