Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217985          23          53          23           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000735554          24          43          26           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   1.14717e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            15.50       52.25       28.25        4.00        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5