Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220082           8          44          40           8           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000779649          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.33078e-07           8          60          31           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             8.25       46.75       39.25        5.25        0.50     B8.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1