Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222588           6          46          40           8           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800534          14          46          35           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.51111e-07          10          62          26           2           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             9.00       49.50       36.00        5.25        0.25     B7.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7