Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226507           3          38          45          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852344           7          50          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   1.86671e-07           6          45          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             4.00       37.75       47.50       10.50        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6