Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228105           3          32          56           9           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880450           1          38          49          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   2.09064e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.25       33.25       55.00        8.75        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9