Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228268           3          31          58           8           0        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000900371           3          27          51          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   1.93344e-07           6          46          42           6           0        B9.8
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             4.00       32.00       53.00        9.50        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7