Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226493           3          38          45          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884544           1          34          55          10           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   1.64375e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             5.00       38.25       46.50        9.50        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B4.0