Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225262           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867498           4          41          47           8           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.51284e-07          10          62          26           2           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             5.50       41.25       44.75        8.25        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6