Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225652           5          44          42           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000866036           5          39          48           8           0        C1.4
GOES Xray  =   1.53340e-07          10          62          26           2           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             5.50       40.00       46.25        8.00        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B6.2