Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226475           4          37          45          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000879041           1          40          48          11           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.58678e-07          11          59          25           5           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             5.25       37.00       43.50       13.75        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B7.9