Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231487           3          15          61          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000925267           2          20          51          25           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.42806e-07           3          34          54           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.25       18.50       57.75       19.00        2.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0