Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222560           6          47          40           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000841431           3          52          37           8           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   1.44569e-07          10          62          27           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       29.0000           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             6.50       52.25       35.50        5.75        0.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4