Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222233           6          48          39           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000837809           5          49          37           9           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   1.40949e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             8.00       54.00       33.00        5.00        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      B7.2