Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232453           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000881772           1          36          53          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.49815e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C6.0
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.00       15.50       61.75       18.75        2.00     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3