Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227011           3          31          52          14           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000840219           4          50          38           8           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   2.91455e-07           3          24          65           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.75       28.00       55.75       13.25        0.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8