Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234107           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937933           1          19          52          25           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.96218e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.75        9.00       62.00       24.00        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0