Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234325           4          11          64          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922561           2          20          52          24           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.90201e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C5.5
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.50       11.50       59.25       24.00        1.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M6.0