Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232837           1          16          63          18           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000921342           2          22          51          22           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.48455e-07           3           5          75          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.50       11.75       62.25       22.25        2.25     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      M9.3