Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229769           1          21          60          16           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903330           3          29          49          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   2.84142e-07           2          24          67           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.75       20.50       60.75       15.50        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0