Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230518           2          21          58          16           3        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905383           3          29          49          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   2.95450e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       61.0000           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.75       21.75       59.00       14.50        2.00     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1