Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233136           2          15          63          17           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946149           1          17          57          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.34300e-07           3           7          75          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       61.0000           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       13.50       64.00       18.25        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1