Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229663           1          20          63          15           1        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000902343           3          28          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.11337e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.00       18.25       63.50       14.25        2.00     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      X6.9