Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218153          21          50          28           1           0        B4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000788555          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.70453e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            14.25       54.75       28.25        2.75        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.9