Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221341           7          40          44           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000810597          11          44          39           6           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   1.32047e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.75       46.00       31.25        4.00        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)