Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226636           2          37          47          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000871502           3          39          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.95096e-07           5          44          45           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.50       43.50       43.25        8.75        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B6.4