Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227612           3          33          53          11           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000875754           4          39          47          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.20009e-07           1          43          51           5           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             3.25       40.50       48.00        8.00        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4