Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225703           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860891           7          47          36          10           0        B9.2
GOES Xray  =   2.00741e-07           3          46          46           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             4.75       40.25       46.50        7.75        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6