Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226871           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000879865           1          39          48          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   1.92646e-07           6          45          42           7           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             3.25       36.50       49.50       10.00        0.75     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9