Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227316           3          30          54          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000913188           3          24          51          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   2.00469e-07           3          45          47           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.75       29.50       53.50       13.25        1.00     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5