Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229146           1          23          63          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938388           1          16          54          26           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   2.31292e-07           4          35          52           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.25       19.75       57.25       19.75        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1