Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231354           4          16          60          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000989944           3          13          60          19           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   2.38643e-07           3          31          57           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.75       17.50       56.75       20.00        3.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7