Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231418           3          16          60          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100268           2          13          65          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.79347e-07           3          29          61           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       19.25       62.00       14.75        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1