Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233551           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100931           2          12          65          18           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.67950e-07           1          32          61           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.00       18.75       63.75       14.00        1.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B9.6