Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231642           3          15          58          21           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100373           2          12          65          17           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.30680e-07           4          36          51           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.00       17.50       61.00       16.50        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3