Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233498           3          16          60          19           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102980           1          15          63          15           6        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   2.77810e-07           3          31          60           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       20.25       61.00       14.00        2.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      B8.7